Super Bowl Odds: Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles Still Top 3 at Season Midpoint

After the first eight weeks of the NFL season, the Buffalo Bills are the consensus betting favorite to win Super Bowl LVII at +225 odds according to DraftKings. The Philadelphia Eagles are +500 odds, and the Kansas City Chiefs are +650 odds to win the Super Bowl as the closest competition to the front-running Bills.

Josh Allen Kansas City Chiefs Buffalo Bills Super Bowl 57 Odds LVII Philadelphia Eagles Cowboys
Josh Allen Kansas City Chiefs Buffalo Bills Super Bowl 57 Odds LVII Philadelphia Eagles Cowboys
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen hurdles over Justin Reid from the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. (Image: AP)

The Eagles have the best record at 7-0 as the only undefeated team in the NFL, but they’re only the second-best favorite to win the Super Bowl behind the Bills with a 6-1 record.

Buffalo Bills +225 +450
Philadelphia Eagles +500 +1600
Kansas City Chiefs +650 +800
San Francisco 49ers +1300 +2200
Dallas Cowboys +1500 +4000
Minnesota Vikings +1800 +1800
Baltimore Ravens +1800 +1600
Tampa Bay Bucs +2500 +700
Cincinnati Bengals +3000 +2800

The defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams are on the verge of missing the postseason after a 3-4 start. Their odds dropped to +4000.

The Cincinnati Bengals were the runner up at Super Bowl LVI, but the AFC champions are only 4-4 after an ugly loss against the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football. The Bengals still have a legion of fans that think they’ll turn it around in the second half of the season, which is why their Super Bowl LVII odds are +4000.

Buffalo Bills +225

The Bills began the preseason as the public favorite to win the Super Bowl, and bettors continue to bet them. The Bills saw their odds steadily narrow throughout the season. Just four weeks ago, you could’ve backed the Bills at +400 to win the Super Bowl, but their odds since bumped to +225.

Quarterback Josh Allen leads the second-highest scoring attack in the NFL averaging 29 points per game, but it’s their suffocating defense that has been impossible to crack. The Bills allow only 14 points per game, and they’re one of four teams that hold opponents to under 95 rushing yards per game.

Bills Mafia is the NFL’s most rabid fan base, and their long-suffering fans are still hoping the Bills can finally win their first-ever Super Bowl. Bills Mafia hopes their beloved squad can remain healthy in the second half of the season. They want to avoid replicating last year’s midseason doldrums. The Bills peaked too early in 2021, and then suffered a devastating loss in overtime against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Divisional Round.

Keep an eye on next week’s game against the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) in Week 10. The Bills also host the Miami Dolphins in Week 15 one week before Christmas. They also kick off 2023 with a Monday Night Football game against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Philadelphia Eagles +500

When the Eagles began the season, they were only +1600 odds to win the Super Bowl. Even the most loyal fans were reticent to fire away on futures bets. With the first two months of the season complete, the Eagles emerged as the team to beat in the NFC after posting a perfect 7-0 record. As the Eagles extended their winning streak, their Super Bowl odds shrunk week-to-week. You can bet them right nowat +500 odds.

Versatile quarterback Jalen Hurts is the new face of the NFC after aging veterans Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers look like dinosaurs on the verge of extinction. Hurts completed 67% of his passes for 1,799 yards and ten touchdowns. He only threw two interceptions, which is tied for second-lowest among starting quarterbacks. The mobile and elusive Hurts also rushed 70 times for 303 yards and six touchdowns.

The Eagles have the fourth-best scoring defense in the NFL allowing only 16.9 points per game. They have not allowed more than 17 points per game in their previous three victories. They also held two opponents to single-digit scoring. If you dismiss the 35 points they coughed up against the Detroit Lions in Week 1, the Eagles allowed only 13.8 points per game since the season opener.

The Eagles have an easy schedule in November and could carry an 11-0 record into December. However, their schedule in December is tough with a home game against Derrick Henry and the Tennessee Titans, before they hit the road for three-straight away games against the New York Giants, Chicago Bears, and Dallas Cowboys.

Kansas City Chiefs  +650

The trio of Super Bowl favorites — Bills, Eagles, and Chiefs — are also the league’s top three offenses. The Bills and Eagles also boast a top four scoring defense, but the Chiefs are lacking in that department. Defense is their biggest weakness.

The Chiefs traded wide receiver Tyreek Hill to the Miami Dolphins in the offseason, but the loss of their former speedster has not derailed the offense one bit. Even without Hill, the Chiefs are the highest scoring team in the NFL this season averaging 31.9 points per game, but they have to win shootouts because they have the tenth-worst scoring defense in the league allowing 24.6 points per game.

The Chiefs knocked the Bills out of the playoffs last year in an overtime game widely considered the best postseason game in the modern era. The Bills enacted revenge with 24-20 victory in Week 6, which marked only the second loss of the season for the Chiefs. The way this season has unfolded, the Bills and Chiefs are the top two elite teams in the AFC once again.

The Chiefs are fresh off a bye week, and only three of their second-half opponents — Tennessee Titans, Los Angeles Chargers, Seattle Seahawks — have a winning record heading into Week 9. They have three road games in the beginning of December against the Cinicinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, and Houston Texans. The matchup against the Bengals in Week 13 is revenge game and rematch of last year’s AFC Championship when the Bengals upset the Chiefs to advance to the Super Bowl.

San Francisco 49ers +1300

The San Francisco 49ers could emerge as the biggest threat to the Eagles in the NFC after they acquired running back Christian McCaffrey in a trade. The 49ers are 4-4, and only average 22 points per game, but their defense kept them afloat in the first half. They allow only 18.4 points per game for the fifth-best scoring defense in the NFL. They are ranked #7 overall in defensive DVOA with the third-best rush defense.

The addition of McCaffrey will help boost their offense as they eagerly await the return of Deebo Samuel who missed time with a hamstring injury.

The 49ers did not trade quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo in the offseason, which probably saved their season after starting quarterback Trey Lance suffered a season-ending ankle injury in Week 2. If the injury-prone Jimmy G can stay healthy the rest of the season, the 49ers will be a tough matchup in the postseason.

The 49ers were +2200 odds to win the Super Bowl at the start of the season, and they saw a slight bump to +1300 after a 4-4 start.

The 49ers sit in second place in the NFC West, but they only have three more division games to catch the first-place Seattle Seahawks. They still have to play the Arizona Cardinals twice, and have a tough road game against the Seahawks on Thursday Night Football in Week 15.

In Week 11, the 49ers and Cardinals meet for a Monday Night Football showdown south of the border at the historic Estadio Azteca in Mexico City.

Dallas Cowboys +1500

Even though the Dallas Cowboys lost quarterback Dak Prescott to a thumb injury, backup Cooper Rush guided the team to a 4-1 record. The undefeated Eagles handed Rush his lone loss as a starter this season in Week 6.

Heading into Week 9, the Cowboys are 6-2 and have the third-best record in the NFC thanks to their defense. They allow only 16.6 points per game with the third-best scoring defense in the NFL that’s anchored by linebacker Micah Parsons. Their defense is also ranked #3 in DVOA thanks to an air-tight secondary and menacing pass rush.

The Cowboys were +4000 odds to win Super Bowl LVII at the start of the season, but even losing Prescott for five games did not deter bettors. The Cowboys saw their odds steadily move throughout the season. At +1500 odds to win the Super Bowl, the Cowboys ae the fifth favorite on DraftKings’ futures board.

After a bye this weekend, the Cowboys hit the road for back-to-back games against the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings. Their Week 11 matchup against the Vikings could be a potential playoff preview.

On Thanksgiving, the Cowboys host NFC East division rival New York Giants (6-2). In Week 16, the undefeated Eagles head to Texas for a Christmas Eve showdown against the Cowboys.

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